About J. Jerrald Hayes

Author Archive | J. Jerrald Hayes

An Early August Look At The Presidential Race

Why a Meaningful Shift in the Trump-Clinton Race May Be at Hand

Hillary Clinton has a large and perhaps growing lead in the nation and in many of the predominantly white battleground states where Donald Trump was thought to have his best shot, according to a wave of new surveys released in the last two days. Three national surveys – from Fox, NBC/WSJ and Marist/McClatchy – showed Mrs.

What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like

We’re going to spend a lot of time over the next 87 days contemplating the possibility of a Donald Trump presidency. Trump is a significant underdog – he has a 13 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model and a 23 percent chance according to polls-plus.

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New study: it would be cheap to retrain coal workers for solar jobs – Vox

New study: it would be cheap to retrain coal workers for solar jobs

Coal is dying in the US, and solar is booming. That’s good news for a whole variety of reasons, but it sucks for the people who work in the coal industry, which has shed 50,000 jobs in the last five years. What if all those unemployed coal workers could get jobs in the solar industry?

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Inside the GOP’s Shadow Convention – POLITICO Magazine

Inside the GOP’s Shadow Convention

CLEVELAND-It was mid-April when as many as 1,000 alumni of the most recent Republican administration descended on Dallas for a staff reunion to reminisce about sunnier times. Former President George W. Bush autographed cowboy hats, Vice President Dick Cheney snapped selfies and First Lady Laura Bush chatted up the crowd.

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Scientists don’t “believe in science”. Science is a method of investigation.

A fellow I know on FaceBook whenever I post something about science likes to stick in or add on something pejorative about “scientism”. While I am sure there are people out there that do “believe in science” like it is a religion I’m not one of them and I can’t think of any real scientist I know of and respect that does. So I asked him today…

XYZ you do realize that science is a method of investigation not a belief system. Do you have a better more reliable method I should use in its place to figure out how the physical world works? What is it?

The problem I have with your pejorative use of “scientism” is that despite your carefully cloaked assumption that religion and perhaps other disciplines have methods of apprehending truth beyond science you do not give a single example of a question that those other disciplines have answered that science can’t.

Again scientists don’t “believe in scinece“. Science is a method of investigation.

Dr, Jerry A. Coyne on Science and Faith…

Why Scientists Have No Faith in Science

A common tactic of those who claim that science and religion are compatible is to argue that science, like religion, rests on faith: faith in the accuracy of what we observe, in the laws of nature, or in the value of reason.

There’s a simple story book I love that I read years ago that has a great moment and a great accompanying line in it. The book is Richard Back’s Illusions The Adventures of a Reluctant Messiah. It’s a story about two barnstormers that meet up flying around the country performing small private air shows and develop an interesting teacher student relationship. One of them, a character named Don Shimoda is the teacher, and he has this small little book with him called “The Messiah’s Handbook” which whenever you open it seems to have the answer you were looking for. Something tragic happens and the teacher and the book falls to the ground and the student character who is the author Richard Back picks up the book looking for the answer to explain what just happened and he reads:

“Everything in this book might be wrong”

Indeed everything we discover and think we know,…may be wrong.

I am not a scientist. I don’t study and explore biology, agriculture, climate, or physics first hand. I rely on other scientists to do that for me and then I try to understand what they have done and what they have found as best as I can. I am always willing to change my mind and change what can be called my positions when I learn something new I haven’t known before. If “following” scientists who know science and the scientific method better than I do, and eschewing supernatural and paranormal speculations, and embracing empiricism and reason makes me a member of the supposed church of scientism well then so be it.

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Why We Need Science: “I saw it with my own eyes” Is Not Enough « Science-Based Medicine

Thanks to the Olympics I’ve been in a debate on Facebook about the efficacy of “Cupping” which in case you need me to say it I think is absolute nonsense, woo, and quackery. The conversation covers the usual territory in that there are a couple of people chiming in saying “well it worked for me“.

Why We Need Science: “I saw it with my own eyes” Is Not Enough

I recently wrote an article for a community newspaper attempting to explain to scientifically naive readers why testimonial “evidence” is unreliable; unfortunately, they decided not to print it. I considered using it here, but I thought it was too elementary for this audience.

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Why doesn’t medicine always work?! | Health is Wealth

Health is Wealth

All of us, one time or another, have had some kind of illness that we’ve needed treatment or help for. Remember when you had that nasty cold and that tiring fever? Maybe your doctor told you to take some Advil to calm the fever down.

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10 Amazing GMOs! | Dr. Carol Lynn Curchoe

10 Amazing GMOs!

Most people are familiar with just three types of “GMOs” corn, soy, and beets (usually they can even cite glyphosate resistance or the Bt trait!). But dozens of GMOs exist and they have been used to benefit human health, animal welfare and to safeguard the environment for over 30 years!

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Trump disagrees with every position held by Trump

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On Getting Near The Center of the Bullseye On The First Try. | REALFOOD.ORG

On Getting Near The Center of the Bullseye On The First Try.

Quickly and With Some Degree of Confidence One of the things that keeps me busy is administering and moderating a Facebook group called Food and Farm Discussion Lab and helping to moderate GMO SkeptiForum. This has led to a steady stream of requests for help find or evaluate information and evidence, often on things I…

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Some Help For Cutting Through All The Bullshit & Lies Out There

6 Best Fact Checking Websites That Help You Distinguish Between Truth and Rumors

6 Best Fact Checking Websites That Help You Distinguish Between Truth and Rumors

The Hot Topics for such Misinformation are generally Politics, Government Policies, Religion and various Scams and Hoaxes. Some websites have taken up the task of spreading awareness against rumors by presenting evidence and hard facts. Lets look at some of the best websites that help us distinguish between thee truth and rumors.

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