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Rationally Thinking Out Loud
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The Non-Voters Who Decided The Election: Trump Won Because Of Lower Democratic Turnout

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 31, 2019 | • Politics, The 2016 Presidential Race, The 2020 Presidential Race, The Democrats

The Non-Voters Who Decided The Election: Trump Won Because Of Lower Democratic Turnout An astonishing spectacle of the election aftermath is the false account of why Trump won. The accepted wisdom is that Trump succeeded in awakening a popular movement of anger and...

How She Lost | American Prospect

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Sep 24, 2017 | • Politics, Hillary Clinton, The 2016 Presidential Race

How She Lost Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign Amie Parnes and Jonathan AllenPenguin This article appears in the Fall 2017 issue of The American Prospect magazine. Subscribe here. Hillary Clinton’s tragic 2016 campaign faced withering...

Tom Frank: Would Bernie Have Been Able to Beat Trump? Hell Yes! | The Nation

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Apr 15, 2017 | • Politics, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, The 2016 Presidential Race, The Democrats

Tom Frank: Would Bernie Have Been Able to Beat Trump? Hell Yes! In the Rust Belt, they hated Hillary-that’s what Tom Frank found on his recent book tour for the paperback edition of Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People? Also: Is...

How Trump Trumped The New York Times, CNN, and the Rest of the Media i | Vanity Fair

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Jan 25, 2017 | • Politics, Donald Trump, The 2016 Presidential Race

How Trump Trumped The New York Times, CNN, and the Rest of the Media in 2016 Never before has half a nation developed post-traumatic stress disorder over the elevator plunge of a single night. It was like a bloodless 9/11, the blue-state edition. The night was...

The Domestic Conspiracy That Gave Trump The Election Is In Plain Sight | The Huffington Post

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Jan 18, 2017 | • Politics, Donald Trump, The 2016 Presidential Race

The Domestic Conspiracy That Gave Trump the Election Has Been Revealed This post is hosted on the Huffington Post’s Contributor platform. Contributors control their own work and post freely to our site. If you need to flag this entry as abusive, send us an...

Team Bernie: Hillary ‘F*cking Ignored’ Us in Swing States – The Daily Beast

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 21, 2016 | • Politics, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, The 2016 Presidential Race, The Democrats

Team Bernie: Hillary ‘F*cking Ignored’ Us in Swing States Ever since election night-when Hillary Clinton tanked and Donald Trump became the next leader of the free world-the most prominent allies and alumni of Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign...

Newslogue Debate: Lessons of 2016: How Rigging Their Primaries Against Progressives Cost Democrats the Presidency

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 20, 2016 | • Politics, The 2016 Presidential Race, The Democrats

Lessons of 2016: How Rigging Their Primaries Against Progressives Cost Democrats the Presidency The democrats lost the 2016 presidential election because they alienated progressives with widespread voter suppression and...

How Did Trump Win? The FBI and the Russians. | Mother Jones

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 12, 2016 | • Politics, Donald Trump, The 2016 Presidential Race

How did Trump win? The FBI and the Russians. Without Comey’s letter, Clinton likely would have won the popular vote by four points and the Electoral College by 300 votes or more. Who knows about the Senate? Maybe Democrats would have won that too. Eliminate the...

The Comey Effect

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 12, 2016 | • Politics, The 2016 Presidential Race

The Comey effect Update. A commenter points out a complexity that I didn’t do a good job of explaining in the original post: the decrease in the Clinton-Trump margin starts at the graph’s “October 26th” – and the Comey letter was released...

Founding Fathers Say Russia Election Interference Means Electoral College Must Reject Trump

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 11, 2016 | • Politics, Donald Trump, The 2016 Presidential Race

Founding Fathers Say Russia Election Interference Means Electoral College Must Reject Trump The Russian election interference for Trump is grounds for the Electoral College to reject the Republican candidate according to Alexander Hamilton in Federalist 68. The CIA...

The CIA concluded that Russia worked to elect Trump. Republicans now face an impossible choice. – The Washington Post

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Dec 10, 2016 | • Politics, Donald Trump, The 2016 Presidential Race

The CIA concluded Russia worked to elect Trump. Republicans now face an impossible choice. The Washington Post is now reporting that the CIA has concluded something widely suspected but never flatly stated by the intelligence community: That Russia moved deliberately...

Why the Wisconsin recount matters – Medium

by J. Jerrald Hayes | Nov 27, 2016 | • Politics, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, The 2016 Presidential Race

Why the Wisconsin recount matters For the last several weeks, I and a number of volunteers have been independently researching the Nov. 8 election results in the state of Wisconsin and other swing states-ones that were polling in favor of Hillary Clinton for months...
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