…That loyalty allows us to estimate that a Clinton win by more than 3% would probably be associated with Democratic control of the Senate. And a Clinton win by more than 8% would favor a Democratic House. Currently, the optimal way to help/hurt Clinton is in Senate races.
With three weeks to go to the election, Hillary Clinton is headed for an electoral victory comparable to President Obama’s 2008 and 2012 wins. In national polls, Donald Trump’s support is where it has been all year, around 40-42% of voters. If Clinton’s lead increases, the added support will probably come from ” undecided ” and minor-party voters.